Don’t assume the coming Biden Boom means a shift to rapid and sustainable growth

Generating economic growth is difficult. For most of human history, there wasn’t much of it. Now we often take it for granted. Policymakers often think too little about growth impacts when they consider raising taxes ....

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How will artificial intelligence shape our future? My long-read Q&A with Darrell M. West

Artificial intelligence is becoming more common every year, with applications in industries ranging from medicine to transportation to the service sector. Many people see this technology as a means of finally escaping the disappointing productivity ....

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Assessing USPTO Director Andrei Iancu’s tenure, part I

Yesterday, with the inauguration of Joseph R. Biden Jr. as the 46th president of the United States, Andrei Iancu, the director of the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) since February 2018, logged his last ....

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5 questions for Toby Ord on the risk of human extinction

What sort of extinction-level catastrophes should we be concerned about? What can we do to meet these challenges? And what are the odds we survive this century? Toby Ord joined Political Economy to discuss these ....

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Is GPT-3 the AI tool that launches a productivity revolution?

GPT-3 is an AI tool — machine learning, specifically — trained on an extremely large data set that can generate some pretty amazing text when prompted, everything from creative fiction to computer code. It’s also ....

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Are we in a dark age of invention and innovation? And if so, will we ever get out?

It is one thing to argue that technological progress has diminished or slowed, quite another to argue that such stagnation is permanent. Recently, I ran across a 2005 analysis by physicist Jonathan Huebner, then working ....

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Is America going to settle for slow economic growth? Too many of us might be OK with that.

Just before Independence Day, the Congressional Budget Office released its updated 10-year economic forecast. Basically, it shows a 5 percent bump in real GDP next year before settling into 2 percent growth mode for the ....

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Is humanity prepared to handle catastrophic threats? My long-read Q&A with Toby Ord

As technology progresses, we find that our advancements offer may protections against some existential risks while creating new ones. So what are the odds that we are living in the last century of human history? ....

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